TY - JOUR
T1 - Global River discharge and floods in the warmer climate of the last interglacial
AU - Scussolini, Paolo
AU - Eilander, Dirk
AU - Sutanudjaja, Edwin H.
AU - Ikeuchi, Hiroaki
AU - Hoch, Jannis M.
AU - Ward, Philip J.
AU - Bakker, Pepijn
AU - Otto-Bliesner, Bette
AU - Guo, Chuncheng
AU - Stepanek, Christian
AU - Zhang, Qiong
AU - Braconnot, Pascale
AU - Guarino, Maria-Vittoria
AU - Muis, Sanne
AU - Yamazaki, Dai
AU - Veldkamp, Ted I.E.
AU - Aerts, Jeroen C.J.H.
PY - 2020/9/28
Y1 - 2020/9/28
N2 - We investigate hydrology during a past climate slightly warmer than the present: the last interglacial (LIG). With daily output of preindustrial and LIG simulations from eight new climate models we force hydrological model PCR‐GLOBWB and in turn hydrodynamic model CaMa‐Flood. Compared to preindustrial, annual mean LIG runoff, discharge, and 100‐yr flood volume are considerably larger in the Northern Hemisphere, by 14%, 25%, and 82%, respectively. Anomalies are negative in the Southern Hemisphere. In some boreal regions, LIG runoff and discharge are lower despite higher precipitation, due to the higher temperatures and evaporation. LIG discharge is much higher for the Niger, Congo, Nile, Ganges, Irrawaddy, and Pearl and lower for the Mississippi, Saint Lawrence, Amazon, Paraná, Orange, Zambesi, Danube, and Ob. Discharge is seasonally postponed in tropical rivers affected by monsoon changes. Results agree with published proxies on the sign of discharge anomaly in 15 of 23 sites where comparison is possible.
AB - We investigate hydrology during a past climate slightly warmer than the present: the last interglacial (LIG). With daily output of preindustrial and LIG simulations from eight new climate models we force hydrological model PCR‐GLOBWB and in turn hydrodynamic model CaMa‐Flood. Compared to preindustrial, annual mean LIG runoff, discharge, and 100‐yr flood volume are considerably larger in the Northern Hemisphere, by 14%, 25%, and 82%, respectively. Anomalies are negative in the Southern Hemisphere. In some boreal regions, LIG runoff and discharge are lower despite higher precipitation, due to the higher temperatures and evaporation. LIG discharge is much higher for the Niger, Congo, Nile, Ganges, Irrawaddy, and Pearl and lower for the Mississippi, Saint Lawrence, Amazon, Paraná, Orange, Zambesi, Danube, and Ob. Discharge is seasonally postponed in tropical rivers affected by monsoon changes. Results agree with published proxies on the sign of discharge anomaly in 15 of 23 sites where comparison is possible.
KW - floods
KW - global models
KW - hydrology
KW - last interglacial
KW - paleoclimate
KW - river discharge
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85091537445&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1029/2020GL089375
DO - 10.1029/2020GL089375
M3 - Article
SN - 1944-8007
VL - 47
SP - 1
EP - 12
JO - Geophysical Research Letters
JF - Geophysical Research Letters
IS - 18
M1 - e2020GL089375
ER -