Grounding Causality in Bayesian Networks Using Qualitative Reasoning

Mélanie Munch, Kamal Kansou, Bert Bredeweg, Cédric Baudrit, Pierre-Henri Wuillemin

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Abstract

The complexity of analysing dynamical systems often lies in the difficulty to monitor each of their dynamic properties. In this article, we use qualitative models to present an exhaustive way of representing every possible state of a given system, and combine it with Bayesian networks to integrate quantitative information and reasoning under uncertainty. The result is a combined model able to give explanations relying on expert knowledge to predict the behaviour of a system. We illustrate our approach with a deterministic model to show how the combination is done, then extend this model to integrate uncertainty and demonstrate its benefits
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages9
Publication statusPublished - 2023
Event36th International Workshop on Qualitative Reasoning - Krakow, Poland
Duration: 1 Oct 20231 Oct 2023

Workshop

Workshop36th International Workshop on Qualitative Reasoning
Country/TerritoryPoland
CityKrakow
Period1/10/231/10/23

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